President Donald Trump is justifiably upset with the World Health Organization and its director-general, Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus.

The World Health Organization is supposed to be the world’s early-warning system for pandemics, but failed spectacularly with the novel coronavirus.

In particular, the WHO took Chinese
statements about COVID-19 at face value and strongly praised Beijing for its “cooperation and transparency” and for setting “a new standard for outbreak control.”

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We now know that China suppressed details of the disease, punished doctors who tried to alert the public and the world, allowed Chinese citizens in Wuhan to travel abroad and spread the disease to other countries, and blocked access to WHO experts for weeks.

In response to those missteps, Trump announced that the administration is halting funding of the World Health Organization while a review is conducted to assess the WHO’s role in mismanaging the coronavirus outbreak.

If the president wants to genuinely
hold the WHO accountable, counter Chinese efforts to shift blame for COVID-19,
and reform the WHO to better respond to the next pandemic, he should not cut
funding—at least not yet.

The reasons for this are manifold and
involve practical and political concerns.

The United States is the largest funder of the World Health Organization. According to the WHO, the U.S. provided $893 million ($237 million in assessed contributions and $656 million in voluntary contributions) to the 2018-2019 WHO two-year budget through the third quarter of 2019. (Contributor data has not yet been updated to include the fourth quarter.)

That represents 15.9% of total World Health Organization contributions over that period.

As such, the threat of withholding funds is significant. But it’s also distant, because the decision to pull funding would only apply going forward. Due to its budgetary practices, the U.S. pays its assessments to the WHO at the end of the calendar year.

Moreover, because of the current crisis,
the U.S. likely expedited allocation of its voluntary contributions
appropriated for this year. In other words, the bite of withholding funds would
not significantly affect the WHO for months.

But the costs would be immediate.

First, the U.S. will have used its
biggest stick, but because the impact of a decision to withhold funds would be
delayed, it wouldn’t provide the immediate pressure likely to spur the changes
that the U.S. desires. 

Second, while many developed countries
are currently in the midst of dealing with COVID-19, the disease is just now
starting to affect many developing countries.

Those countries will depend on the international
community to assist them in responding to COVID-19, and an announcement that
the U.S. is cutting funding to the WHO, regardless of the reality, will be
interpreted as abandoning them.

The U.S. needs support from developing
countries, which make up a majority of the World Health Organization
membership, to approve an investigation into the WHO response to COVID-19 and
adopt reforms to improve the response to a future pandemic.

How supportive are they likely to be if
they think that the U.S. is cutting funding to the WHO right when they need its
assistance?

Third,
the U.S. has taken pains to counter Chinese disinformation and focus the world
on the fact that Chinese actions and inactions facilitated the spread of
COVID-19 and impeded the international response, leading to enormous loss of
life and economic hardship.

It
has highlighted that America provides far
more funding than China does to the WHO, UNICEF, and other international
organizations responding to the current crisis.

In
addition, the U.S. provided $274
million in bilateral assistance to help developing countries respond to
COVID-19 in late March and followed that with an additional $225
million
in early April.

Those
efforts will be immediately overshadowed by an announcement that the U.S. is
cutting funding to the WHO even as other nations, both developed and developing, are expressing
anger toward China for its role in the COVID-19 pandemic.

China
would immediately exploit the announcement to expand its misinformation campaign, cement
its influence in the World Health Organization, and portray the U.S. as uninterested
in helping other countries deal with COVID-19.

In this instance, the threat of future withholding will be more effective than a preemptive decision. Instead of ending funding during the current crisis, the U.S. should condition future funding to specific actions by the World Health Organization. Specifically, the U.S. should demand:

• Approval and completion of an independent, external investigation into the WHO response to COVID-19 and the potential influence of China over its decisions.
• A thorough review and revision of World Health Organization policies to enable it to respond more quickly to emerging pandemics, which must include full transparency and information-sharing on potential pandemics, automatic approval of visit requests by WHO expert teams, and acknowledgement that travel restrictions are justified in the absence of such cooperation.
• The restructuring of WHO financing to concentrate on communicable diseases and responding to international health emergencies. Less than 15% of WHO financing in 2018-2019 was directed at detecting and combating international pandemics. (Some $554 million went to the WHO Health Emergency Program and $306 million to preventing and controlling outbreaks under the “Humanitarian Response Plans and Other Appeals” budget category.) Meanwhile, the WHO dedicates more than $300 million to “Equity, Social Determinants, Gender Equality and Human Rights,” “Reproductive, Maternal, Newborn, Child, and Adolescent Health,” “Violence and Injuries,” and “Mental Health and Substance Abuse.”

The focus of the WHO should be on truly
international threats to health, rather than these largely domestic health
concerns that do not pose a threat to spread from one country to another.

While
the other member states might not be happy with the financial threat, they will
be forced to acknowledge that the U.S. did not act precipitously, but tried to
work with them to reform the World Health Organization in ways that would help
them as much as address U.S. concerns.

If the director-general or the WHO member states refuse to adopt these reasonable demands for accountability and reforms designed to prevent the next COVID-19, the U.S. would be fully justified in terminating funding and proposing a new international organization focused on communicable diseases and responding to international health emergencies.

This article was updated to reflect President Donald Trump’s announcement about WHO funding late Tuesday.